Craig Hemke – Dollar Weakness, Silver CoT Insights, and Gold’s Central Bank Tailwind
Craig Hemke, Founder & Editor TF Metals Report, joins us for his weekly editorial to break down the latest moves in the U.S. Dollar, the precious metals sector, and positioning in the silver market.
Key Themes Covered:
- U.S. Dollar Breakdown: With the DXY falling below 98, approaching multi-year lows, Craig discusses how this weakness acts as a tailwind for precious metals and broader commodities. He outlines the inverse tick-for-tick trading patterns between the dollar and gold, especially during key Fed events.
- Silver COT Warning Signs: Despite silver pushing above $36, Craig flags caution based on the CoT (Commitment of Traders) report positioning. Speculative interest may be topping out, creating the potential for a pullback tied to July contract expirations and positioning rollovers.
- Gold/Silver Ratio Outlook: While some traders use the gold-silver ratio to toggle exposure, Craig remains focused on fundamental and technical price action. He wouldn’t be surprised to see the ratio revisit 100 before silver regains momentum.
- Silver Stocks Divergence: We analyze the recent disconnect between silver prices and the underperformance of silver equities like SIL and SILJ, even amid record volume. Craig discusses how shallow market depth and investor skepticism may still be suppressing upside despite stronger silver pricing.
- Gold’s Long-Term Drivers: With central banks continuing to add to gold reserves and global debt exploding (e.g., $116,000/second added to U.S. debt in May alone), Craig emphasizes that fiat devaluation remains the core bullish case for gold in the years ahead.
Visit https://www.tfmetalsreport.com for more of Craig’s insights
Drop your questions in the comments and subscribe for future updates. Or email me at Fleck@kereport.com.
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The Canadian dollar is behaving exactly as should be to confirm the bullish action in the miners.
https://schrts.co/WTdVDmki
Silver compared to Gold is looking mighty goooooooooood this morning! DT
Been slowly researching NexMetals as a possible play. Copper Nickle cobalt in Botswana. Past producing mine. Frank Giustra Involved. Anyone checking it out or have an opinion.
I looked at it in 2024 when it was previously called Premium Nickel and thought their projects were quite robust.
Recently when the Frank Giustra team got involved and rebranded it to Premium Resources and we chatted with our buddy Morgan Lekstrom, that has been put in as the CEO and got their bigger vision on the company and it looks promising to me as so much work was already completed by the prior team.
Shortly thereafter Cory recorded and intro interview with Morgan when it was temporarily called Premium Resources:
https://www.kereport.com/2025/05/15/premium-resources-advancing-2-past-producing-high-grade-copper-nickel-cobalt-projects-in-botswana/
We’ll be having them on the show at one point for an update as the even newer name NexMetals…
Nice move for Silver today…
Indeed Dan. Nice to see silver in the $37’s…
IPT looking interesting… I own some for the first time in quite awhile.
Yup, it’s been acting well since breaking its downtrend almost 3 weeks ago. I bet all those recent red candles served to shake a lot small investors out.
https://schrts.co/rJckGVbc
The monthly chart looks perfect for plenty of upside. It’s interesting that the last 16 months looks similar to the last 5 years for Silver:Gold.
https://schrts.co/GvFZzWPY
I swapped quite a bit of gold for silver recently and I think I’ll swap some more today. There’s a lot of top-callers lately including among some smart bulls and I think they’re wrong. Even metals dealers are reporting nothing but selling from the retail crowd and that by itself should be a very bullish sign.
SLV:GLD
https://stockcharts.com/sc3/ui/?s=SLV%3AGLD&a=1995773042&p=D&yr=1&mn=5&dy=0&id=p28014828930
IPT finished at its high for the day even when priced in silver. Speaking of which, IPT:Silver recently became more oversold than it was in 2015 just before going 11x in less than 8 months.
https://schrts.co/rpfkDMqU
Thanks to recent action, IPT’s P&F price objective is once again $3.50.
Capitan Silver hit a double for me. Michael Gentile investment.
More great action from Brixton on the best relative strength reading since 2022…
https://schrts.co/ncZGDqIE